Visionwave Holdings Common Stock Performance

VWAV Stock   8.41  0.47  5.92%   
The entity has a beta of 1.23, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, VisionWave Holdings will likely underperform. At this point, VisionWave Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to validate VisionWave Holdings' value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if VisionWave Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days VisionWave Holdings Common has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the latest fuss on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-term gains for the venture sophisticated investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
5.92
Five Day Return
4.73
Year To Date Return
(14.62)
Ten Year Return
157.19
All Time Return
157.19
1
VisionWave Announces Issuance of New U.S. Patent, Expanding Enforceable Protection Across Its Core RF Imaging and AI Platform
12/23/2025
2
Insider Trading
01/02/2026
3
Disposition of 66500 shares by Stanley Hills Llc of VisionWave Holdings at 14.67 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/13/2026
4
THE SOVEREIGN MANDATE 5 Stocks Securing the 2026 Choke Points
01/14/2026
5
Disposition of 96941 shares by Stanley Hills Llc of VisionWave Holdings at 14.45 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/15/2026
6
Domestic Defense Recapitalization Drives Valuation Floors via the Sovereign Shield
01/20/2026
7
VisionWave Holdings Signs Exchange Agreement and Strategic Collaboration With SaverOne - TradingView
01/26/2026
8
Stanley Hills LLC sells VisionWave Holdings stock for 8.2m - Investing.com
01/30/2026
9
VisionWave Holdings Highlights Dual-Market Autonomous Systems Platform and Advances RF-Based Defense Capabilities, Incorporating QuantumSpeed and advancing qSpe...
02/03/2026
10
Vanderbilt Report VisionWaves Strategic Acquisitions Position Company for Defense Market Expansion
02/04/2026
11
VisionWave Holdings Announces Succesful Live Demonstration of SaverOnes RF-Based VRU Platform
02/06/2026
12
Disposition of 2080 shares by Magic Internacional Argentina Fc S.l. Llc of VisionWave Holdings at 9.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/11/2026
13
VisionWave Initiates Development of AI-Controlled Intelligent Radar System with Distributed Mesh Decoy Architecture
02/19/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow232.3 K
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities29.1 M

VisionWave Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,015  in VisionWave Holdings Common on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (174.00) from holding VisionWave Holdings Common or give up 17.14% of portfolio value over 90 days. VisionWave Holdings Common is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.0742% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 54% of stocks are less volatile than VisionWave, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VisionWave Holdings is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 8.14 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

VisionWave Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of VisionWave Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.41 90 days 8.41 
about 86.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VisionWave Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.02 (This VisionWave Holdings Common probability density function shows the probability of VisionWave Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.23 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, VisionWave Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally VisionWave Holdings Common has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   VisionWave Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VisionWave Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VisionWave Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.268.3314.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.048.1114.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.0210.0916.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-2.128.6119.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VisionWave Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VisionWave Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VisionWave Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in VisionWave Holdings.

VisionWave Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VisionWave Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VisionWave Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VisionWave Holdings Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VisionWave Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.23
σ
Overall volatility
1.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

VisionWave Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VisionWave Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VisionWave Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VisionWave Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
VisionWave Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
VisionWave Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (870.54 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
VisionWave Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations
VisionWave Holdings has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: VisionWave Initiates Development of AI-Controlled Intelligent Radar System with Distributed Mesh Decoy Architecture

VisionWave Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VisionWave Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VisionWave Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VisionWave Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9754.00

VisionWave Holdings Fundamentals Growth

VisionWave Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of VisionWave Holdings, and VisionWave Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on VisionWave Stock performance.

About VisionWave Holdings Performance

Evaluating VisionWave Holdings' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if VisionWave Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if VisionWave Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.20)(0.21)
Return On Capital Employed 0.36  0.38 
Return On Assets(0.20)(0.21)
Return On Equity 0.31  0.33 

Things to note about VisionWave Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about VisionWave Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for VisionWave Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VisionWave Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
VisionWave Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
VisionWave Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (870.54 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
VisionWave Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations
VisionWave Holdings has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: VisionWave Initiates Development of AI-Controlled Intelligent Radar System with Distributed Mesh Decoy Architecture
Evaluating VisionWave Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate VisionWave Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing VisionWave Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether VisionWave Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining VisionWave Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating VisionWave Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of VisionWave Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of VisionWave Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into VisionWave Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating VisionWave Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact VisionWave Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for VisionWave Stock Analysis

When running VisionWave Holdings' price analysis, check to measure VisionWave Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VisionWave Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of VisionWave Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VisionWave Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VisionWave Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VisionWave Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.